Storm Warning: Tropical System Near Mexico Could Be First Hurricane of the Season

Tropical Storm Barbara is rapidly gaining strength off Mexico’s southwestern coast and is expected to become the first hurricane of the Eastern Pacific season later today, according to the National Hurricane Center.

As of early Monday morning, Barbara was located roughly 185 miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, with sustained winds of 70 mph—just 4 mph shy of hurricane status. The storm is currently moving west-northwest at about 12 mph, tracking parallel to the coast.

Forecasters say Barbara is likely to become a Category 1 hurricane by Monday afternoon, but the system is expected to begin weakening on Tuesday as it moves into cooler waters and encounters stronger wind shear.

Storm Brings Heavy Rain, Dangerous Surf

While Barbara is not forecast to make landfall, it’s already creating hazardous conditions along Mexico’s Pacific coast. Areas across Colima, Jalisco, Michoacán, and Guerrero could receive 2 to 4 inches of rain, with isolated areas getting up to 6 inches. The rainfall increases the risk of flash flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous terrain.

In addition to rain, life-threatening surf and rip currents are expected along beaches from western Guerrero to southern Jalisco. Residents and tourists are being advised to stay out of the water, even if skies appear clear.

At this time, no coastal warnings or watches have been issued, but meteorologists urge coastal communities to remain on alert.

Second Storm in the Region

Barbara isn’t the only storm spinning in the Pacific. Tropical Storm Cosme, located over 600 miles southwest of the Baja California Peninsula, also formed over the weekend. Though Cosme is not expected to threaten land, it adds to what is shaping up to be a busy start to the season.

The Eastern Pacific hurricane season officially began on May 15, and with storms like Alvin, Barbara, and Cosme already forming, experts are watching closely for signs of an active year.

What Happens Next

Barbara could remain a hurricane for about 24 hours before weakening over open water. Still, its effects will be felt along parts of the Mexican coast through Tuesday. Authorities recommend monitoring updates from the National Hurricane Center and local agencies, especially for those living in or traveling to coastal areas.

If Barbara is officially upgraded today, it will be the first hurricane of the 2025 Eastern Pacific season—a title that signals the season is already heating up.